Thursday, July 17, 2008

How does Obama win by a Land Slide?
Economic Strength as an Obligation for National Security and an Obligation of the Commander in Chief.
After answering on Military points, returning at the end of each major statement to a pocket book issue.
As commander in Chief, I will be focused on energy at home - because it will create jobs, money for Americans, and security through independance from other countries.
America is more secure when more Americans have good jobs. That pays taxes, which funds our government and our military.
So, we do better in every way when our economy at home and how you are doing in your life, financially is taken into account.
How you are doing at home, your physical health, health care, financial situation, job stability, is the foundation for our national security.
As commander in chief I won't take my eyes off the foundation of our national security - you, your ability to work, your ability to earn a living, pay taxes, and keep our country economically strong.
So, I will do everything I can to keep this economy strong as the foundation to my national security plan.
Obama will win. My prediction is made today.
McCain will climb back several times and not go down without a serious fight, but he will go down.
Obama is going straight for the juggular.
McCain is seen by the public as having one major strength over Obama.
Obama is succesfully targeting the only place where McCain polls as being ahead.
If Obama narrows the gap on that even a little bit and keeps McCain fighting on that, we all know McCain is clueless on the economy already and has very little to say.
If McCain were to gain momentum on the economy, Obama could just match his message, improve on it, and deliver it better.
So, Obama is succeeding at going after McCain on the Commander and Chief level of being President.
7/17/2008 be it predicted here.
Obama will be the next President of the United States and by that time, he will have changed everything.

Sunday, July 6, 2008

Iran: Cohort Perspective

Fact: 70% of the population in Iran is under the age of 30.

Reality: American leaders who are interacting with Iran are at least a generation or two older.

The American leaders come from a time when they witnessed as adults and had to work on the hostage crisis and other problems with Iran.

The Iranians are in a young and fresh cohort.

There is an asymetry here - in that Americans may pride themselves on remembering and learning from past problems - when

the Iranian population wasn't old enough or even born - to be able to remember most of them.

This young cohort in Iran over time could put more and more pressure on the government there and shift the policies.

I think Iran is an easier out than we may have anticipated.

Conclusion: The young cohort in Iran will have a capacity for new directions, flexibility, and changes of leadership - not possible if it was an older more rooted population.

Consider: The population is not filled with old - hard -liner Yassar Arafats - who have 60 years of war under their belt.

The potential for change exists.

Saturday, June 28, 2008

When does a President get good at his job?

I believe it depends on the talent of the person to begin with.

But - consider that Bush had 8 yrs.

This is an MSNBC article below. Is it possible that it takes time for someone to get good at being the president?

With recent successes in North Korea (noting that a diplomat who is very effective may be in place), and other things.

Is it possible we would pull out of Iraq right at the time we get good at it?

Or the President learns how to responsibly handle the job after 8 yrs of on the job training?

Just a thought.

#1 in my mind is that what crosses the president's desk is only the major difficult decisions and the crises that require fast action by the one in charge. The one where weeks of thinking may not be allowed.

So my number one test would be the answer to the question.

Who would best handle the hard decisions and crises? If one says experience - then Mccain gets the answer. If one says, one who proves each day his judgement is ahead of the curve - Obama can have that because he was against Iraq from the start. If one believes the world

has changed so dramatically that experience is a detriment then you have another issue altogether.

McCain doesn't know how to Google. Thats how old and out of touch with the modern era he is. That is how Obama wins.

That is discourse in the vernacular. McCain has experience and a sure mastery of the way things used to be. He's not even up on the times enough to know how to Google. Do you google?

Bush seeks sanctions against Zimbabwe

President Mugabe expected to be sworn in Sunday after 'sham' election

Tsvangirayi Mukwazhi / AP
A man and his family examine results of the presidential runoff election Saturday outside a polling station in Harare, Zimbabwe.
Video
Mugabe votes in presidential election
June 27: Zimbabwe President Robert Mugabe casts his ballot in the internationally discredited and violence tainted presidential run-off. Msnbc.com's Dara Brown reports.

msnbc.com

Slide show
Image: A mourner grieves
Zimbabwe runoff crisis
After months of politically fueled violence, Zimbabwe braces for its one-man presidential run-off election.

more photos

Slide show
Zimbabwe, a nation in decline
Take a look at the country's tumultuous path since independence.
Web extra video
Mugabe’s Zimbabwe
As the one-time "breadbasket of Africa" plunges deeper into crisis, an analysis of President Robert Mugabe’s devastating legacy.

NBC News Web Extra

Video
Zimbabwean exiles protest
June 27: In London protesters carried a coffin from the Zimbabwean Embassy to the South African High Commission today to illustrate the death of democracy in Zimbabwe. ITN's Paul Davies reports.

Nightly News

MSNBC News Services
updated 15 minutes ago

HARARE, Zimbabwe - The United States is developing penalties against the government of Zimbabwe, President Bush said Saturday, in response to the country's widely-condemned runoff election.

Thursday, May 1, 2008

Is it a recession or not?

Bush says "No, it's slow growth."

I say, if you look at what is happening with the figures, the overall gdp that measures what the economy is doing, you get a .06% growth rate. Yes, very slow growth.

But, if you look behind the numbers, you will see that those numbers are buoyed by one factor. The dollar is so low that exports are increasing. People overseas can buy American goods on the cheap and they are beginning too.

Thats a silver lining to the economy.

But, are you in the export business?

At the moment, me neither. So, what are the other numbers?

If the GDP is boosted by exports and what we see as a slow growth economy includes the figures from increased exports, then the economy at home, must be way down.

So, we are in a recession at home, but there is a little more money coming from outside. Basically, we are not pouring our money like a flood to the outside world as fast as we were before. Though we are still in a trade deficit with the outside world that is staggering.

Recession = yes. Unless you are an exporter taking advantage of a demolished dollar.

In a year the dollars the exporters earn at home could cycle back into the economy and be spent on other things and effect other businesses, but, well that would be a year in recession for most.

Bejamin Feinblum

Sunday, April 13, 2008

Iran's Involvement in Asymetric Combat

You are missing this.

This entire war is about Asymetric Combat against the United States. If you cannot beat the US Militarily, what other way?
The two war strategies are 1) Anhilation - wiping us off the Earth 2) Attrition - beating us by taking out our recources and supply chain.

Consider Bin Laden was part of the group that took down Russia by keeping them stuck in Afganistan spending their money. Thats how to take the recources of a government.

Read this:
http://www.brillig.com/debt_clock/

What if the other way to take the recources of the government was by stopping the flow of tax dollars that fund the government?

If we go into recession then tax dollars slow and the money that funds the military slows down.

Note here that Opec nations are not increasing oil production to lower prices. In fact, it is the first time they have acted in a coordinated fashion. Normally, a few opec nations sneak and ramp up production to make as much money as possible - even when they agree not to, but they are working in concert this time.

Now, Iran builds relations with Venezuala. One word - Oil. Venezuala is a huge supplier of oil and owns Citgo.

So... if you want to take out the US how would you do it?

Would the gas prices be $4 per gallon? Even though it costs $2 a barrel for the entire production line from the Middle East to here?

If oil prices went up and then... lets say we began to use Ethanol as a back-up plan. And Ethanol uses corn, which increases corn demand, so farmers begin growing more corn - because prices are higher. Then, farmers stop growing all other grains and prices for those go up.

Wait - then that would be the perfect recipe for a government to spend a trillion dollars in Iraq - Iran would be helping to keep us there by creating a proxy war.

Then you take the recources of the people in America by triggering a run up in prices for everything we buy.

Then recession occurs and America pays less taxes, while our government carries the largest debt in our history. So, they have no way to pay it off.

Then, the countries that are selling all this oil to us, send our money back, by buying all of our assets - our companies, with their sovereign wealth funds.

How would you take out the US? Direct war? Or, by going for its recources.

What is happening.

This is a war of attrition.

Iran and Venezuala have oil. If every car stops in America we have no economy. The economy funds our entire military.

We are missing it all.

This is a war of attrition.

Benjamin Corey Feinblum

Saturday, April 12, 2008

Asymetric combat does depend on minds. However, the terrorists have us all fooled. There are two types of wars. 1) A war of anhilation - blowing up your enemy. 2) A war of attrition - getting them from the back side by taking out their recources.

Do you think that they were hoping we'd spend all our money on building up security, maybe, go after them in a country - Afganistan - where Russia got stuck and drained all its money? Do you think - Iraq was a bonus that they got to take advantage of?

This is Asymetric combat. They cannot beat the US Military in battle. What if they cost us so much money, so much equipment, and our focus. What if in defense, we keep out people from our country - including people who have brilliant minds - and we experience an intellectual brain drain. What if the instability raises oil prices and opec nations who are anti-US deceide to play along and won't increase supplies? What if we start to make Ethanol as a backup plan - only - Ethanol uses corn - demand and prices for corn goes up - so all the farmers start to grow corn and then the supplies of all other crops go down and then prices of everything goes up.

What if - the way to take down the United States was the same way they took down Russia. A war of attrition. If you cannot beat them militarily - why not create a million things for them to chase, to divert their attention, to make it feel like a war of anhilation - while you are actually draining their bank of a trillion dollars.

And - when the price of oil goes up - we create the largest shift of wealth in the history of mankind. We send all our wealth over to oil producing nations.

Then - they have the wealth and begin to buy up our companies, a little bit at a time with their sovereign wealth fund. The fact that they have been draining our recources puts us into recession.

The value of the dollar has been dropping due to the cost of the war. So, everything they buy over here is cheaper. Yet, the multiples of money they are getting from oil - give them more money than they ever dreamed.

So - they buy our assets. All of our assets in this country go on sale and they buy them out from under us.

A country with no assets, massive government debt due to war costs, massive personal debt due to rising food and oil costs - that is a country under seige -
by a war of attrition.

Iraq and Afganistan are now misdirection. Tools to drain our bank accounts faster than we ever dreamed.

This is a war of attrition - they have beaten our minds.

Sincerely,

Benjamin Corey Feinblum
Ps. If you wanted to take down America - how would you do it?

Washington, DC

322 Hart Senate Office Bldg
Washington, DC 20510
Phone (202) 224-2551
Fax (202) 224-1193

The War of Attrition

They are either fighting a war of attrition, or a war of annhilation.

What if you couldn't beat a fully armed US military? Would you bog it down in Iraq? Would you break the bank in the country?

Would you create tight oil supplies to break the bank of all the individuals within the country to weaken tax revenues?

This is a war of attrition.

That is how they are going after our country.

Everything in Iraq is misdirection.

If we are digging ourselves into a deep hole.... stop digging.

I must talk to Byron Dorgan.

Or Joe Biden.

Or somebody.

If they can't win by annhilating us - they will win by attrition.

The Iraq war is misdirection.

This is asymetrical combat.

They thought they might get us in Afganistan and take us down like Russia.

I bet they never dreamt we would go into Iraq too.

Consider that they bet - we would redouble our security spending after the trade center bombings....

Every single thing here is about creating magical things for us to chase endlessly.

This is a war of attrition.

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